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MARK MOBIUS: The Central Bank kept saying no; no; no。 And they were shelling out the ; and of course any hedge fund manager looking at that would say; ";Hey; these guys are going to be in trouble; and Im going to short the Thai baht。";
MARK MOBIUS:中央银行一直在说不,不,不。他们出售美元以保护本国货币。所以,他们的外汇储备迅速降低,而那些对冲基金经理人看到这种情况就会说:“哈, 这些人要有麻烦了,我可要对泰铢作空。
NARRATOR: The baht came under relentless market pressure。 In July 1997; the Thai government was forced to devalue。
旁白:泰铢面临强大的市场压力。1997年7月,泰国政府被迫降低币值。
The bubble had burst。 The Asian financial crisis was about to begin。
泡沫破灭了。亚洲金融危机即将开始。
SIRVAT VORAVETVUTHIKUN: When the crisis hit; I realized my fate。 I could not sell a single unit when the crisis hit。
SIRVAT VORAVETVUTHIKUN:当危机来临时,我意识到了我的命运。当危机来临的时候,我一套房子也卖不出去了。
My condominium is called the American dream home; dream condominium。 But we are broke。 Even my clients who were multibillionaires are broke also。
我的豪华公寓叫做“美国梦幻家园”。但是,我们破产了。连我的那些曾经是百万富翁的客户都破产了。
NARRATOR: The economic shock reverberated throughout all levels of Thai society。
旁白:这一经济动荡回旋于泰国社会的各个层面。
PANJIT NIYOMDET; Factory Worker; Bangkok。 Thailand: When the economy went bad; my husbands salary was cut 30 percent。 I was lucky; I kept my job; but I didnt get a raise。 To support our family; my husband had to find other work。
PANJIT NIYOMDET,工厂工人,曼谷,泰国:当经济不好的时候,我丈夫的薪水降低了30%。我算是幸运的。我保住了我的工作,但是,我没有得到加薪。为了养活一家,我丈夫不得不再去找其他工作。
NARRATOR: The cost of living was rising。 Everything was going up …… water; electricity; even soap。 But the salaries were staying the same; or going down。
旁白:消费水平不断提高。所有东西都涨价 —— 水,电,甚至肥皂。而工资却没有涨甚至下降了。
With its economy in a virtual free fall; Thailand received an emergency rescue loan from the International Monetary Fund。 When that didnt work; the Thai government asked Washington for even more help。
由于泰国的经济的实际下滑,泰国得到了国际货币基金组织的一笔紧急援助贷款。而当这也无济于事时,泰国政府向华盛顿请求更多的帮助。
No one imagined that an economy as small as Thailands could spark a global crisis。
没有人能想象到一个象泰国经济这样小的经济体竟可以引发一场全球危机。
Chapter 12: Contagion Engulfs Asia '7:13'
第十二章: 危机的影响吞没了亚洲
LAURA TYSON: Thailand is a very small economy。 It didnt have a lot of links; and its not exactly in your backyard。 So in any event; the ; thinking it was not going to spill over。 Why would it? The contagion effects were not apparent to anybody; not just the administration。
LAURA TYSON:泰国是一个很小的经济体。它没有太多的联系,也并不在你的后院。因此,在任何事件中,美国都选择不去干预泰国的事情,因为认为它不会蔓延。为什么会呢?传染的效果当时对任何人来说,不仅仅是行政当局,都不明显。
LEE HSIEN LOONG: I think they misjudged the situation。 They misjudged the situation; probably because it was seen too much as a financial issue rather than an overall strategic issue。
LEE HSIEN LOONG:我认为他们错误地判断了形势。错误地判断了形势的原因可能是,大家把它过多地看成是一个金融问题而不是一个整体的战略问题。
NARRATOR: Global markets worried that other Asian countries might have similar hidden flaws。 Like a classic run on the bank; money began to pull out of the entire region。 They called it contagion。
旁白:全球市场都担心其他亚洲国家可能也存在着类似的隐藏着的漏洞。就象一个银行的传统运营方式,资金被从整个这一地区抽走,他们把它叫做恶性蔓延。
Onscreen caption: 116 billion flowed out of Southeast Asian markets。
字幕:一千一百六十亿美元流出东南亚市场。
DANIEL YERGIN: And at each stage; the crisis turned out to have a virulence that became known as contagion; much greater than anticipated。 And what that really reflected was indeed globalization; was the way these economies had bee locked together and investors looked at emerging markets。 They said there was a problem in Thailand; well; then theres a problem in these other countries。 And so each step of the crisis created these shock waves that carried on into the next。
DANIEL YERGIN:在每一个阶段,这一危机都有一个致命的表现,被叫做恶性蔓延,比预想的要厉害得多。而它们真正所反映的是全球化的确是这些经济体紧扣在一起的载体,全球化也是投资者看待新兴市场的方式。
Onscreen caption: Kuala Lumpur; Malaysia; July 1997
字幕:吉隆坡,马来西亚,1997年7月
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